This evening from the Smoothie King Center, the New Orleans Pelicans (45-31), who are currently fighting for a top-six berth in the Western Conference, will play the San Antonio Spurs (18-58).
With a few games remaining, New Orleans is now tied with Phoenix and one game behind Dallas, the No. 5 seed, in the Western Conference. This game is considered as a must-win for the Pelicans because they are also fending off a surge from the Sacramento Kings (one game behind) and the Los Angeles Lakers (one and a half games behind).
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The match brings New Orleans’ six-game home stand to an end. Many had predicted the Pelicans would secure a postseason berth during this stretch. To the dismay of its supporters, New Orleans is currently on a three-game losing run.
To exacerbate the situation, forward Zion Williamson left the Orlando Magic game on Wednesday night early due to a left hand injury. While Brandon Ingram is still sidelined due to a left knee ailment, Williamson is questionable versus San Antonio. Without any of them, the Pelicans could certainly overcome the lowly Spurs, but New Orleans needs to win in order to stay with the group and attempt to avoid a play-in game.
Ingram’s replacement, guard C.J. McCollum, has been filling in, and if Williamson is unable to play, he will be expected to take on further responsibilities. In the most recent game against Orlando, McCollum finished with 36 points and 10 rebounds.
The Pelicans are 11.5-point favorites with a 219 over/under at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Let us examine the probabilities and patterns:
Spurs of San Antonio versus Pelicans of New Orleans
Time/TV: NBA League Pass, Bally Sports New Orleans, 7 p.m. CT
Spread: Pelicans -11.5 (per DraftKings Sportsbook)
In total: 219
Spurs +525 and the Pelicans -750 moneyline
Analysis: Trey Murphy III, who has performed well on the stat sheet when given more minutes, and McCollum should have a huge night. Williamson’s ability to play is a positive, but his health must be restored in time for Sunday’s matchup with the Suns. Tonight, against a poor San Antonio team, New Orleans should light up the scoreboard and win even without him.
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